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Another Low Show in Atlanta

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Friday 30th July 2004

Bonus Play on New York Mets at Atlanta Under 9 -109

- Line available at Pinnacle Sports

- Trachsel & Hampton

- Listed pitchers

- Game goes at 4:35 PM PST., 7:35 PM EST.

There are plenty of reasons to expect a low scoring game here. First we should mention that these two teams and two pitchers squared off less than a week ago in the Big Apple and a total of seven runs were produced. Atlanta will enter this contest 40-56 (o/u) this season and 19-27 (o/u) at home. Moreover, they are a staggering 24-44 (o/u) in night games this season and 11-24 (o/u) when the total is between 9 and 9.5 this season. Note too that the Braves are now 2-13-1 (o/u) their last sixteen. Those just happen to be—solid and straightforward—respective “Under” trends of 58%, 58%, 67%, and 87%.

Looking at the Braves recent stats paints a pretty clear picture of why they are an “Under” team of late. They are averaging just 3.4 runs per contest over their last seven. In addition, the Braves boast a phenomenal 2.62 ERA as a team their last ten games and a microscopic 1.05 ERA from the pen over the same stretch. It does not get much better than that when looking to play a game “Under”.

As far as the pitching match-up goes, the Braves Hampton enters with a less than impressive 4.92 ERA and 1.642 WHIP. However, he has a 2.14 ERA and 0.942 WHIP over his last three starts. We should also note that he is a whopping 18-38 (o/u) his last fifty-six starts when the total is set between 9 and 9.5 Note too that he is a lefty and the Mets are averaging just 4 runs per game against left-handed starters. The Mets Trachsel meanwhile carries a 3.59 ERA and 1.335 WHIP. By all accounts, he shouldn’t have much trouble shutting down a struggling Braves offense. Oh … and one last thing to note is each of the past four meetings between these clubs have played “Under”. We’ll trust the numbers here and call for this one to stay far below the posted number.

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Source: OnlineCasinoNews

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